Série C Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Mogi Mirim vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAY
4 - 1
MOG
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAL
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 1
MOG
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
4 - 0
MOG
24%
27%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -3 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAY
4 - 1
MOG
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 1
PAY
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
TUP
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 3
PAY
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 2
TRE
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |