Mogi Mirim vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
MOG
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 5
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
MOG
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 1
ITU
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
XVD
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 3
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAU
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 3
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |