Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Mogi Mirim vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MOG
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 1
73%
17%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
2 - 1
MOG
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
MIR
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |