Mogi Mirim vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VOL
4 - 0
MOG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
MOG
61%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MOG
0 - 3
YPI
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
MOG
57%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 1
TOM
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 4
MAC
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
BOT
25%
30%
46%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 2
YPI
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
SAO
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |