Mogi Mirim vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
4 - 0
MOG
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
MOG
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MOG
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 4
GUA
33%
30%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOM
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |