Mogi Mirim vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 3
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAX
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 0
MOG
28%
28%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CGA
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MAC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |