Mogi Mirim vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
XVD
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
MOG
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
COR
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 1
AUD
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
MOG
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
ITU
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 3
ITU
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
OES
1 - 2
ITU
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
ITU
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |