Mogi Mirim vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
MOG
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MOG
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
3 - 1
YPI
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
23%
28%
49%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
4 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |