Moghreb Tetouan vs Olympic Safi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
7º
14º
14º
1
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 8 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 8 |
5º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 8 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 7 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
9º
|
4% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 7 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 6 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 5 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 5 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 5 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
64% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moghreb Tetouan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
WYD
1 - 0
MOG
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MOG
2 - 2
FAR
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
UTS
1 - 0
MOG
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOG
2 - 4
MAG
42%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
RSB
3 - 2
MOG
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic Safi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
OLY
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 3
UTS
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
WYD
0 - 1
OLY
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
IRT
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
YOU
0 - 1
OLY
39%
30%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |