Modling vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
SVL
0 - 3
MOD
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
MOD
2 - 1
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
MOD
0 - 3
RAP
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
LAS
4 - 1
MOD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
LIN
0 - 3
MOD
51%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
VIE
5 - 0
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
OBE
3 - 1
VIE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
VIE
7 - 0
WNE
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
RIE
3 - 2
VIE
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1995 |
VIE
3 - 0
VSE
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |