Modling vs Spittal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
HAR
1 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1997 |
MOD
2 - 1
VSE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1997 |
VIE
4 - 1
MOD
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1997 |
MOD
2 - 1
VOR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
SCA
5 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
SPI
4 - 0
SVL
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
KUF
0 - 0
SPI
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1997 |
SPI
3 - 1
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
SWB
1 - 1
SPI
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1997 |
SPI
1 - 1
LBN
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |