Modling vs Spittal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
OBE
3 - 0
MOD
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1996 |
MOD
0 - 0
VSE
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
KUF
1 - 1
MOD
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
MOD
4 - 1
KLA
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
MOD
2 - 0
KLI
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1996 |
LIN
3 - 0
SPI
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1996 |
SPI
3 - 2
OBE
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
VSE
1 - 0
SPI
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
SPI
0 - 2
KUF
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
KLA
0 - 3
SPI
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |