Modena Sub 19 vs Virtus Entella Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
MOD
89%
9%
3%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
28%
25%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
77%
15%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 2
BOL
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
TOR
26%
24%
51%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
5 - 0
VIR
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
VIR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIR
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |