Modena U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis

Modena U19 Spezia U19
18 ELO 27
-0.4% Tilt -0.1%
13982º General ELO ranking 9452º
423º Country ELO ranking 317º
ELO win probability
21.4%
Modena U19
23.2%
Draw
55.3%
Spezia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
Modena U19
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.3%
Win probability
Spezia U19
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Modena U19
+46%
+8%
Spezia U19

ELO progression

Modena U19
Spezia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Modena U19
Modena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2007
PCZ
Piacenza U19
2 - 1
Modena U19
MOD
77%
15%
8%
16 33 17 0
13 Oct. 2007
MOD
Modena U19
1 - 1
Torino U19
TOR
16%
22%
63%
15 35 20 +1
06 Oct. 2007
LIV
Livorno U19
1 - 2
Modena U19
MOD
56%
22%
22%
13 15 2 +2

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2007
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 1
Genoa U19
GEN
45%
24%
30%
28 30 2 0
13 Oct. 2007
JUV
Juventus U19
4 - 0
Spezia U19
SPE
68%
18%
13%
28 39 11 0
06 Oct. 2007
SPE
Spezia U19
0 - 2
Sampdoria U19
SAM
43%
24%
32%
28 32 4 0
X