Modena U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
6 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 3
TOR
13%
23%
65%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
77%
16%
7%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 5
EMP
19%
24%
58%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 5
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
GEN
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EMP
7 - 1
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 4
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |