Modena U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 0
MOD
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 6
JUV
12%
19%
70%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 1
FIO
15%
21%
63%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAS
2 - 2
MOD
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 1
GEN
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 2
PCZ
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CES
0 - 1
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAS
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
NOV
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 2
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |