Modena Sub 19 vs Livorno Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 0
MOD
45%
24%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 2
NOV
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAR
12%
22%
67%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +5 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
10%
20%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Livorno Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 2
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 3
JUV
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAS
2 - 2
LIV
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 4
EMP
23%
27%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIV
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |