Modena U19 vs Livorno U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 1
PIS
51%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MTV
3 - 1
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MOD
3 - 2
CAG
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 1
MOD
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 4
SIE
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
LIV
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
TOR
5 - 0
LIV
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
3 - 2
BOL
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MTV
3 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |