Modena U19 vs Livorno U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MOD
3 - 2
MTV
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAG
3 - 1
MOD
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
22%
24%
55%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 2
MOD
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 2
PIS
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
14%
22%
64%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 3
MTV
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 1
LIV
81%
14%
6%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |