Modena Sub 19 vs Cagliari Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 1
MOD
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAR
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PIS
3 - 0
MOD
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 2
SAM
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 3
JUV
31%
26%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAG
15%
21%
64%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 1
SPE
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MTV
2 - 1
CAG
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 3
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |