Modena Sub 19 vs Siena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 0
MOD
45%
24%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 2
NOV
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAR
12%
22%
67%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +5 |
Matches
Siena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAR
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 3
SAM
45%
27%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 6
SIE
33%
27%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 1
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 2
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |