Modena Sub 17 vs Parma Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+130%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
48
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 5
FIO
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
6 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
SMP
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
4 - 1
MOD
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Parma Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
BOL
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 3
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SMP
0 - 2
PAR
43%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
EMP
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |