Modena U17 vs Napoli U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+119%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
25
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOD
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 6
BOL
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
MOD
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SMP
2 - 0
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 2
PAR
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 2
NAP
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 3
FIO
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
NAP
40%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAP
4 - 1
SMP
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |