Modena U17 vs Genoa U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 1
VET
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 2
MOD
8%
15%
77%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PVE
2 - 1
MOD
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 2
NOV
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
MOD
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 0
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 1
SAS
65%
19%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SMP
1 - 0
GEN
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 2
FIO
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |