Modena U17 vs Bologna U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
63.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
10º
8º
17
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 57 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 48 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 37 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 29 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 14 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 0
MOD
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOD
4 - 0
PIS
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOD
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 3
JUV
11%
14%
75%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CES
0 - 2
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
PIS
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOL
11%
15%
74%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
32%
21%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |