Modena U17 vs Bologna U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
MOD
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SMP
2 - 0
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOD
0 - 2
EMP
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPE
5 - 0
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SMP
3 - 2
BOL
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
EMP
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |