Modena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 4
MOD
22%
29%
49%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 0
IMO
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 0
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASG
3 - 1
ACD
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
ACD
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
ASL
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
ACD
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |