Modena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PIA
1 - 0
MOD
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 1
MOD
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 0
VIC
54%
26%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 3
ABN
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ANC
3 - 2
VIC
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
CTT
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIC
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |