Modena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
32.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 1
MOD
52%
29%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
48%
31%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 2
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIC
48%
30%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAT
77%
17%
6%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
PIA
1 - 0
VIC
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VIC
2 - 0
PES
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |