Modena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 0
MOD
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 3
ROM
26%
25%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
VIC
2 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 1
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |