Modena vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
PES
2 - 0
MOD
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
4 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 0
MOD
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
VNZ
0 - 2
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PES
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
VNZ
3 - 2
VER
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 1
VNZ
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |