Modena vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
TER
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
PES
1 - 0
MOD
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 2
ABN
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
5 - 4
MOD
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 1
RIM
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 1
TRI
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 3
USC
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |