Modena vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOD
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
MOD
1 - 0
AND
31%
23%
46%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 3
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 1
TRI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |