Modena vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
INT
4 - 2
MOD
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
TRI
5 - 2
MOD
42%
24%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 1
MOD
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
MOD
5 - 2
TOR
33%
22%
45%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 1
TRI
65%
18%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
LEO
2 - 0
INT
36%
25%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
PRO
2 - 1
LEO
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
TOR
4 - 0
LEO
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROM
37%
23%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |