Modena vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
MOD
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 2
SAM
33%
29%
39%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 0
JUS
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 3
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 4
PES
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
JUS
0 - 0
GRO
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 3
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |