Modena vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOD
56%
27%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 1
VAR
31%
31%
39%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
COM
0 - 0
MOD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
2 - 1
LIV
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 1
USF
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
USF
2 - 0
CES
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 1
USF
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 3
USF
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |