Modena vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 3
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 3
TER
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOD
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 3
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CES
2 - 0
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 2
AVE
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |