Modena vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
MOD
3 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 1
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 0
COS
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
USF
1 - 0
MOD
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
MES
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SAL
1 - 1
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASL
41%
31%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
SSB
3 - 0
AVE
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
UDI
36%
32%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |