Modena vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
MOD
2 - 0
ACP
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 0
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 0
COM
60%
23%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
USA
1 - 1
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 3
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
COM
4 - 2
USA
44%
27%
28%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |