Modena vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
TAR
2 - 2
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
SAL
1 - 0
MOD
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
USA
1 - 0
CAG
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
BRE
2 - 1
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
USA
2 - 0
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 0
USA
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
USA
1 - 1
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |