Modena vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
EMP
2 - 0
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 2
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
MOD
3 - 2
PIS
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
UNI
4 - 1
USA
67%
17%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 1
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
TAR
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 0
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |