Modena vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
FIO
5 - 0
MOD
75%
14%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
CAS
4 - 0
MOD
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 2
NAP
30%
21%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
USA
3 - 3
BOL
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
FIO
0 - 1
USA
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
USA
6 - 1
PRO
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 4
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
USA
1 - 4
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |