Modena vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MOD
1 - 1
EMP
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 2
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 1
UDI
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |