Modena vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
25.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 1
ARZ
45%
30%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOD
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
ABN
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ABN
1 - 1
FRO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABN
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
ABN
0 - 0
PES
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 1
ABN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |