Modena vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
MOD
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 3
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 2
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TOR
4 - 2
PES
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
LIV
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |