Modena vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
53.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAG
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PIS
2 - 2
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
MOD
0 - 1
VER
38%
31%
31%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 0
MOD
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 0
SIE
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
TOR
24%
29%
47%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
TOR
3 - 4
SAM
54%
27%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1986 |
SAM
2 - 0
TOR
55%
27%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
53%
26%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |