Modena vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 3
ROM
26%
25%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 0
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 3
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 1
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |