Modena vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
VNZ
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 1959 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
2 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
CAT
0 - 0
TOR
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MES
1 - 2
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |