Modena vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
TRI
4 - 1
MOD
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 0
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
INT
2 - 1
MOD
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACL
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 1
TRI
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
TOR
0 - 1
INT
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |