Modena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
VER
0 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
FIA
0 - 1
MOD
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
COS
1 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
TER
0 - 0
FIA
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
REG
2 - 1
TER
77%
17%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
TER
0 - 1
PAD
45%
30%
25%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASC
4 - 1
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
TER
0 - 2
PIA
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |